Real Madrid vs Valencia – Betting Odds & Predictions
Current La Liga leaders Real Madrid will face relegation-threatened Valencia at the Santiago Bernabéu on Saturday, December 1, 2025. This fixture marks the first encounter between both sides since April, when Los Che won 2-1 against the Madrid giants.
Buoyed by having won their last five games, Xabi Alonso’s men will now be looking to avenge the loss that sent Barcelona four points clear at the top of the La Liga table last season. Valencia, on the other hand, hasn’t won a La Liga match since September, but is famous for upstaging Real Madrid when it matters the most.
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Recent Form Ahead of Kickoff for Real Madrid and Valencia
Madrid has played its last two matches at the Bernabeu, defeating European giants Juventus and Barcelona by a goal margin at each point. Save for a 5-2 defeat at Atlético Madrid about a month ago, Real Madrid is undefeated across all competitions, winning 12 out of 13 games. It also stands five points clear of its closest rivals, Barca on the La Liga table, along with 22 goals scored and 10 goals conceded.
This run of games is Madrid’s best start to the season since 2022/23, when it had nine wins and one draw by matchday 10. In fact, only Barcelona has had a better run of form in the 2012/13, 2013/14 and 2017/18 seasons, edging out Madrid’s record only on goal difference.
On the flip side, Valencia is having its third-worst start to the season since the 2024/2025 and 1957/58 seasons. Although the club has recorded two wins and three draws, it has lost five games and conceded 16 goals. For what it’s worth, Valencia did soundly defeat UD Maracena, a División de Honor-Group 2 side in the Copa del Rey first round match on Tuesday. Albeit, Carlos Corberan’s men face a far bigger challenge than a non-league team when they meet the Los Blancos on Saturday.
Real Madrid vs Valencia – What the H2H Record Says
In their last five La Liga encounters, neither side has held clear dominance, with both teams recording two wins each and one draw. However, during that period, Real Madrid inflicted one of Valencia’s most humiliating defeats in recent years, with a 5-1 thrashing in the 2023/24 season. Only Barcelona has inflicted a more damaging scoreline on the Blanquinegros since then, with a 6 nil defeat at the Estadi Johan Cruyff this season.
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Across 52 total head-to-head matches, Real Madrid has, unsurprisingly, proven to be the better side, with 28 wins to Valencia’s 11. The other 13 of those matches have been draws, 11 of which came in the Spanish La Liga. Madrid has won 23 of the meetings between these two sides, while Valencia has only managed 10.
Most soccer betting sites predict high probabilities of a Real Madrid trophy this season, but for Valencia, the odds have never been any lower, with the threat of relegation coming for the first time since the 1985-86 season. Valencia faithfuls do believe it’s early in the season and a comeback is possible, especially since four teams are on 9 points going into gameweek 11.
Player Availability Ahead of Real Madrid – Valencia Clash
Real Madrid are currently without Antonio Rudiger and Daniel Carvajal, who are expected to be out till the end of the year at least. However, summer signing Dean Huijsen has proven to be a formidable replacement for Rudiger, while Valverde is filling in well in the right back position. With Madrid facing Liverpool right after Valencia, Xabi Alonso may be keen on resting some players, but betting tips on soccer predict Kylian Mbappe to have some minutes and score some goals.
Valencia centre-back Mouctar Diakhabu and left winger Largie Ramazani are both out with a muscle injury till mid-November and will be unavailable for the Real Madrid match. It’s expected that Carlos Corberan will retain the defence and midfield shape from the 2-0 loss to Villarreal while replacing Beltran with Hugo Duro, who has three goals in La Liga this season, up front.
Our Prediction Based on Stats and Sportsbook Projections
Following the stats, there’s very little doubt Real Madrid will come out on top. Interestingly, the top soccer betting apps agree with this projection. Madrid is tipped to clinch its 10th win of the season with a 3-1 projection against Villarreal. On BTTS prop markets, bookmakers favor a “Yes” wager, judging by the predicted scoreline. Unsurprisingly, Kylian Mbappe is at @1.40 odds as an anytime goalscorer.
This Saturday’s game is an exciting opportunity to place some prop bets, and we know just the best sportsbooks in your location. Check out our banners on this page for our top recommendations, where you can enjoy juicy sign-up offers to get your soccer betting journey off to a flying start.
