Chelsea v Liverpool Match Predictions & Odds [4 May 2025]
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Just as the dust settles from a whirlwind of midweek fixtures, we’re served with Chelsea v Liverpool. The Premier League gods are really spoiling us as this is going to be 90 minutes of potential chaos, controversy, and glory.
We’ve reached that point in the season where every game could swing the title race and this Stamford Bridge showdown promises a tension so thick you could slice it with a shin pad. While the banners and chants will be in full swing, we’ve got one mission here: cut through the noise and make sense of the numbers.
Chelsea v Liverpool match predictions & odds [4 May 2025]
Chelsea and Liverpool are two of the most storied clubs in English football. Chelsea has been a mixed bag this season. A total of 59 goals scored and 40 conceded, with a respectable goal differential of +19, show signs of progress under Pochettino. Their xG (expected goals) sits at 62.1, suggesting they’re getting into the right areas and creating chances.
Defensively? Not bad, not elite. They’ve kept 9 clean sheets (26.5% clean sheet rate) and average 1.18 goals conceded per 90 mins. That places them as a solid mid-table defense. The real bright spark? Cole Palmer. The former Man City prodigy has exploded this season, scoring 0.51 goals per 90 mins, with 45 goals in 7,963 minutes of play. Liverpool, on the other hand, has already racked up 80 goals this season, with an xG of 74.4. Their defensive record? Stout. With only 32 goals conceded and an elite 0.94 goals against per 90 minutes, the back line marshaled by Alisson has been in top form. 14 clean sheets, a 41.2% clean sheet percentage, and a save rate of 70.6% place Liverpool among the best defensive sides in Europe.
Stat comparison (2024/25 Season)
Chelsea haven’t beaten Liverpool in over four years. Their last win? March 2021, away at Anfield. Since then, Liverpool has had their number. The last 9 meetings have gone in Liverpool’s favor, with a mix of wins and low-scoring draws. The psychological edge here? Fully red. Here’s how they compare;
| Stats | Chelsea | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored | 59 | 80 |
| Goals Conceded | 40 | 32 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 62.1 | 74.4 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 43.2 | 29.8 |
| Clean Sheets | 9 (26.5%) | 14 (41.2%) |
| Points per Match | 1.76 | 2.4 |
| Saves | 103 | 77 |
| Save Percentage | 72.2% | 70.6% |
| Cards (Y/R) | 94 / 1 | 62 / 2 |
Prediction: Who will win?
On form, stats, and momentum, it’s hard to bet against Liverpool. Their front line is ruthless, their back line is tight, and Alisson is in golden glove form. Add in the desperation of a title chase, and you’ve got a recipe for another Red win.
But… this is football. And Stamford Bridge has been a tough place to visit lately. If Chelsea can shut Salah down, frustrate their midfield, and allow Cole Palmer to work his magic in space, a draw is well within reach. And let’s not forget, Liverpool have slipped up against mid-table teams before, while Chelsea are more than capable of springing a surprise. That said, don’t be shocked if we’re left with a 2-2 thriller. Because when these two collide, scripts get torn up.
Placing your bets on Chelsea v Liverpool at bet365
If you’re getting in on Chelsea v Liverpool this Sunday, make sure you’re doing it on a platform that respects your time, your money, and your love for the game. Maybe you believe Chelsea will finally break the curse and stun the Reds at Stamford Bridge, or you’re riding the Liverpool wave, confident they’ll cruise past the Blues like it’s just another training session. Either way, if you want the best value for your predictions, bet365 is an absolute playground.
One of the best things about this sportsbook (aside from the sleek interface and the sheer volume of markets) is the way they roll out bet365 bonus offers that actually make sense for real bettors. Currently, new players have two options to kick things off;
- First bet safety net: Think of it like a free do-over. If your first real-money bet loses, you’ll get your money back in Bonus Bets.
- Bet $10 & get $50 in bonus bets: Deposit £5 to £10 (or equivalent in your region) and get three times that value in Bonus Bets.
How to claim your bet365 Bonus and bet on Chelsea v Liverpool
Here’s how to do it:
- Visit the official bet365 website or download the app.
- Click the join now button and fill out your details. You must be 18 or over to register on bet365.
- Choose your offer. During sign-up, you’ll see the two bonus options.
- Deposit & place your bet. Make your first deposit of £5–£10. Your bonus will be triggered automatically based on your choice. You’ll see a “Use Bet Credits” option when placing your next bet. Just toggle that on.
Final verdict: Chelsea v Liverpool. Who blinks first?
We’ve looked at the numbers. We’ve dissected the form. We’ve gone over goalkeeper stats, shot counts, xG, and clean sheets. And yet, none of it feels like enough when these two titans collide. Both are desperate. Both are dangerous. And honestly? This could go either way. My gut says… goals. Drama. And maybe even a draw that feels like a war.
That said, this match is built for betting (not reckless gambling), and if you’re looking for the best seat in the house to do that? bet365 delivers. So, if you haven’t already, click on the banners, sign up, and get involved before kickoff. The clock’s ticking, the odds are shifting, and the big stage is set.
